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Offical Natty Title Thread

Discussion in 'Members' Lounge' started by Capt. Orygun, Jan 8, 2011.

Who's winning "The Natty?"

Poll closed Jan 12, 2011.
  1. Oregon by 7+

    3 vote(s)
    37.5%
  2. Oregon but close

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  3. Auburn but close

    1 vote(s)
    12.5%
  4. Auburn by 7+

    4 vote(s)
    50.0%
  1. Capt. Orygun

    Capt. Orygun Win the Day

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    First off, if you haven't seen it...

    Late Night with Jimmy Fallon - Oregon Ducks Power Ballad (1/5/11) - Video - NBC.com

    Monday, for the first time ever, my Ducks will play for the big prize in college football. As a senior, who only transferred last year, this will be the only football season I have as a student with the team I have loved since the 1994 Rose Bowl season. That is, unless I attend Law School at Oregon, but that's up in the air.

    There is a lot of miss information out there by ESPN which attempts to hype this game but, in my objective opinion as a social science major who looks at statistics all day, Oregon has to be the favorite in this match up... all homerisms aside.

    Why? Follow the numbers...

    Offense
    Scoring: Oregon 49.3 (1st); Auburn 42.7 (4th)
    Yards Per Game: Oregon 537.5 (1st); Auburn 497.7 (7th)
    Rushing: Oregon 305+ (4th), Auburn 287+ (5th)
    Passing: Oregon 232+ (49th), Auburn 210+ (67th)

    As you can see, even though Oregon has a slight statistical advantage, these two teams are very evenly matched on offense. Oregon appears to be the better offensive team but: Auburn has the best player in college football and playing in the SEC has surely suppressed Auburn's numbers.

    The offenses, short of coming out flat, will not determine this game. This game will have to be won on defense or special teams. This historically has favored SEC teams as the previous title winners all had top five defenses. The Pac-10 is considered to be the best offensive conference in the country, but when the conversation turns to defense it's the SEC, and everybody else. This is what ESPN has been selling the game on, but the numbers tell a different story...

    Defense
    Total Defense: Oregon 331+ (25th), Auburn 362 (54th)
    Rushing Defense: Auburn 111+ (10th), Oregon 117+ (15th)
    Passing Defense: Oregon 214 (52nd); Auburn 250+ (106th)
    Passes Defended (batted away): Oregon 8.17/G (1st); Auburn 3.46 (84th)
    Turnover Margin: Oregon 1.08 (6th); Auburn 0.38 (32nd)
    Red Zone Defense: Oregon 64% (5th); Auburn 87% (95th)

    The numbers here are not so close. Even though Oregon plays in a conference with Matt Barkley, Andrew Luck, and Nick Foles Oregon manages to clearly pull away from Auburn when then talk turns to defense. Teams have struggled to run it up the middle against the Tigers, a tribute to the world beater that is Nick Fairly, but Oregon doesn't run through teams so much as it runs around them.

    Key to the Game: Both offenses are amazing and run fast paced, spread-option attacks. Both defenses will be playing Cover-1 or "Man-Free" Cover-0 all night (for non football people that means that people who usually defense the pass instead defend the run leaving pass-defenders in one on one situations). This game will come down to which defense can do this better for an entire football game. This makes Auburn's 105th ranked pass defense especially telling...

    Conclusion:
    Games ARE NOT played on paper. The Giants probably only had a 15% chance to beat New England in the Super Bowl, but if the dice come up with your number on the big night it's a win all the same. This match up is not like that one, this game could go either way. But, the law of averages says that the more you increase exposure the more likely you are to get an average looking output. When you consider that both teams have very fast offenses it must be accepted that the exposure to either defense is huge. The likelihood that the game plays out how the numbers suggest is therefore increased. If both teams show up to play: Advantage Oregon...

    Oregon: 46
    Auburn: 38

    What's your take?
     
  2. kelsodeez

    kelsodeez New Member

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    i thought there was going to be some natural titties in this thread.
     
  3. double0Si

    double0Si ლ(ಠ益ಠლ) VIP

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    F Oregon, and F Auburn! But F Oregon less cause OSU already spanked that ass. And Newton must be blowing the NCAA big wigs. So I guess I'm picking Oregon.

    Go Bucks! Oh, yea, I mean Ducks.
     
  4. hondafreak513

    hondafreak513 New Member

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    ^^^^Thats what im saying OSU... but no I think Auburn will win...
     
  5. Drake

    Drake Well-Known Member VIP

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    My money is on Oregon. 7+ got my vote too. I think that Oregon is going to blitzkrieg even more than they did in the regular season. They have had a month to go over flim and I think the two months of balls to the wall practice with a week or two of play polish will go a long ways to help Oregon. Sure Auburn has had the same opportunity but in my opinion no one adjusts better at half time than Oregon does. And no one has figured out how to stop them yet so why would it change now?
     
  6. Capt. Orygun

    Capt. Orygun Win the Day

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    You guys won the Rose Bowl? I thought Imperial Tattoo of Columbus Ohio won that game, after all, they have the trophy don't they?

    Ohio St fans criticizing Cam Newton for breaking NCAA rules= Pot, Kettle, Black...
     
  7. D16Civic

    D16Civic Matt

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    This game comes down to which program cheats better.

    National Bank of Newton 47
    U of Phil Knight 38

    I'll be pulling for Oregon I suppose, but it's hard to argue with the SEC and the 6 or 7 titles they've won since the BSBCS was invented. Auburn has played a tougher schedule and should be ready for Oregon's speed.
     
    Last edited: Jan 8, 2011
  8. double0Si

    double0Si ლ(ಠ益ಠლ) VIP

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    Pretty sure that trophy is still sitting in OSU's trophy case. No one player could get their hands on that. Selling trinkets and trophies is common practice in all of sports though admittedly against NCAA rules. Anyone who thinks otherwise is an idiot. They got caught and punished. Cam got caught doing a far worse thing and let off with no repercussions. It's more of a criticism of the NCAA than Newton himself. They can't risk losing all the money to be made by deeming him ineligible as he should be by their rules.
     
  9. hondafreak513

    hondafreak513 New Member

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    Auburn Is winning hahaha hopefully they pull it off..........................................
     
  10. double0Si

    double0Si ლ(ಠ益ಠლ) VIP

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    Aaaawwwwwww. Hahahahahahahaha
     
  11. Drake

    Drake Well-Known Member VIP

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    Who ever maintains that field needs their ass fired. It was a damn good game but I am still bummed that Oregon lost. And for gods sake someone teach the officals how to pronounce Oregon.
     
  12. 95b16coupe

    95b16coupe New Member

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    The only thing I knew for sure was the over/under. I had the total points scored at below 60, with the odds makers at 73. Both teams were VERY good this year. They just scored so many points people forgot about the d. I was rooting for Oregon. Sucks bad.
     
  13. AHHVTEC

    AHHVTEC Well-Known Member VIP

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    well im a die hard auburn fan, im glad we won but i was let down several times tonight by the way they played. but anyways war eagle
     
  14. D16Civic

    D16Civic Matt

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    I thought the game was actually pretty boring, and Auburn seemed to be in control until Newton's fumble.

    They need to get back to playing these games around January 3rd, as both teams were rusty in the 1st quarter after 5 week layoffs. The current bowl system is a major failure. When essentially every 6-6 team plays in a bowl, something is wrong.

    Jan 1st used to be a day to sit and watch great football while nursing your NYE hangover, and now you get a couple decent games followed by another week of garbage. I don't understand why the orange and sugar bowls aren't played on Jan 1 these days. Other than for TV ratings. It's nonsense.
     
  15. hondafreak513

    hondafreak513 New Member

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    What was the final score.. I didn't get to watch it just saw some bits of it on the news..
     
  16. chestercheeto48

    chestercheeto48 Senior Member VIP

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    What are you talking about? If it was all the slipping you may want to look into firing Nike from making cleats. If you watched the Rose Bowl you would know what I am talking about. The cleats they made "special" for the bowl games blew goats. Almost every team that wore them on natural turf had issues.
     
  17. BigJ

    BigJ I'm just about that action Boss. VIP

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    Close game. Wish Oregon had some actual steam and stuck with their game plan. They didn't run the ball over center all season and chip decided it was a good idea to implement in the biggest game thusfar in his career.




    I dislike scam newton.
     
  18. SlushboxTeggy

    SlushboxTeggy It's only stupid if it doesn't work VIP

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    I was pulling for Oregon. Casey Matthews and family are gods among men.
     
  19. E_SolSi

    E_SolSi Member of the 20 nut club Moderator VIP

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    i keep seeing this thread and thinking the title says "Official Natty Lite Thread"

    then i throw up in my mouth a little :puke:


    dyslexia: 1
    me: 0
    :(
     
  20. Drake

    Drake Well-Known Member VIP

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    I did see the Rose Bowl game and know that the new and improved Nike cleats blow goat ass so I am assuming that the number one and two teams in the country would not be wearing them. I didn't hear any mention of what style of cleat they used so I am assuming that they didn't use the new shitty ones.
     
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